Subsídios agrícolas e comércio internacional: quais são as implicações sobre as exportações mundiais e brasileiras?

• Michelle Márcia Viana Martins ^[1] ; Alicia Cechin ^[2] ; Scarlett Queen Almeida Bispo ^[2] ; Fernanda de Araújo Pedrosa ^[3] ; Marcelo José Braga Nonnenberg ^[4]
  1. [1] Universidade Federal de Viçosa

     Universidade Federal de Viçosa

     Brasil

     
  2. [2] Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada, Bras
  3. [3] Escola Nacional de Ciências Estatísticas, Brasil
  4. [4] Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada, Brasil

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• Localización: Estudios Económicos: Argentina, ISSN 0425-368X, ISSN-e 2525-1295, Vol. 41, Nº. 82, 2024, págs. 155-187
• Idioma: portugués
• DOI: 10.52292/j.estudecon.2024.3508
• Enlaces
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• Resumen

  • O objetivo do estudo é estimar os efeitos dos subsídios agrícolas de países terceiros sobre as exportações agrícolas mundiais e brasileiras. O modelo gravitacional é aplicado para fluxos agrícolas agregados e desagregados por produtos, nos anos 2004 a 2019. O suporte ao produtor (PSE) afeta negativamente as exportações brasileiras e mundiais sob uma perspectiva das exportações agregadas do agronegócio. Partindo para uma análise mais detalhada no âmbito setorial, o subsídio específico por produto (SCT) tem relação positiva com as exportações brasileiras de soja, milho, carne bovina e suína, e negativa com envios de açúcar pelo Brasil.

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