Los efectos de las reformas del mercado de gas natural en México sobre sus precios, ventas y comercio exterior

• Francisco Ortiz Arango ^[1] ; José Carlos Ramírez ^[2] ; Juan Rosellón ^[1]
  1. [1] Universidad Panamericana

     Universidad Panamericana

     México

     
  2. [2] Departamento de Estudios Económicos de El Colegio de la Frontera Norte, México
• Localización: Contaduría y administración, ISSN 0186-1042, ISSN-e 2448-8410, Vol. 66, Nº. 3, 2021
• Idioma: español
• DOI: 10.22201/fca.24488410e.2021.2841
• Títulos paralelos:
  • The effects of natural gas market reforms in Mexico on its prices, sales and foreign trade
• Enlaces
  • Texto completo (pdf)
• Resumen
  • español

    El objetivo de este artículo es evaluar los cambios producidos por las reformas regulatorias en el mercado del gas natural mexicano entre 2009 y 2018. Para tal efecto se realizan diversas pruebas unitarias y de quiebres estructurales a las series de volúmenes y precios del gas natural que describen su comportamiento en los mercados nacionales e internacionales. Los resultados del análisis estadístico sostienen que todas las series experimentan cambios estructurales en tendencia e intercepto entre 2016 y 2017 y, por tanto, presentan raíz unitaria. Las consecuencias de estos comportamientos son relevantes porque los shocks introducidos en las series son permanentes y atribuibles a la puesta en operación de la reforma.

  • English

    The objective of this article is to evaluate changes produced by regulatory reforms in the Mexican natural gas market between 2009 and 2018. For this purpose, various unit tests and structural breaks are carried out on the series of volumes and prices of natural gas that describe their behavior in national and international markets. The results of the statistical analysis support that all series are subject to structural changes in tendency and intercept between 2016 and 2017, so that they show a unit root.

    Consequences of such behaviors are relevant the since shocks on series are permanent and due to the start of the reform.

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