Impactos sectoriales de la paralización de la actividad debido a impactos externos como el COVID-19: aproximación basada en la extracción hipotética aplicada a la inserción externa de la economía española

• Hugo Campos Romero ^[1] ; Óscar Rodil Marzábal ^[1]
  1. [1] Universidade de Santiago de Compostela

     Universidade de Santiago de Compostela

     Santiago de Compostela, España

     
• Localización: Revista de economía mundial, ISSN 1576-0162, Nº 56, 2020, págs. 135-158
• Idioma: español
• DOI: 10.33776/rem.v0i56.4861
• Títulos paralelos:
  • Sectoral Impacts of the Activity Standstill due to External Shocks such as COVID-19: An Approach Based on the Hypothetical Extraction Applied to the External Insertion of the Spanish Economy
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• Dialnet Métricas: 2 Citas
• Resumen
  • español

    La pandemia del COVID-19 ha provocado una paralización de la actividad económica sin precedentes en la historia reciente. El objetivo de este trabajo es analizar el impacto económico y sectorial potencial resultante de la suspensión de determinadas actividades. Los métodos empleados son el análisis de los encadenamientos productivos y el método de extracción hipotética, tomando como referencia las relaciones comerciales de España con la UE, EE. UU. y China en 2015. Los resultados obtenidos en base a cuatro posibles escenarios muestran un descenso del PIB debido a la parálisis de determinados sectores, revelando la existencia de importantes encadenamientos productivos a través de las Cadenas Globales de Valor

  • English

    The COVID-19 pandemic has brought economic activity to a standstill unprecedented in recent history. The aim of this paper is to analyse the potential economic and sectoral impact resulting from suspension of certain activities. The analysis of production linkages and the hypothetical extraction method constitute the methods are applied, taking as a reference trade relation of Spain with the EU, USA and China in 2015. The results obtained based on the four possible scenarios proposed show a decline in GDP due to the paralysis of a set of sectors, revealing the existence of strong production linkages through Global Value Chains.

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