¿Existen asimetrías en los acuerdos bilaterales de libre comercio? Un método alternativo para estimar los efectos dinámicos

• Blanca Jiménez García ^[1] ; Julio Rodríguez ^[1]
  1. [1] Universidad Autónoma de Madrid

     Universidad Autónoma de Madrid

     Madrid, España

     
• Localización: Revista de economía mundial, ISSN 1576-0162, Nº 53, 2019, págs. 135-156
• Idioma: español
• DOI: 10.33776/rem.v0i53.4022
• Títulos paralelos:
  • Are there any Asymmetries in the Bilateral Free Trade Agreements? An Alternative Approach for Estimating Dynamic Effects.
• Enlaces
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• Resumen
  • español

    El objetivo de este trabajo es estimar el impacto dinámico de los acuerdos bilaterales de libre comercio (FTA, por sus siglas en inglés) sobre las exportaciones bilaterales de los países. Presentamos un estudio alternativo para analizar los efectos ex – post de los acuerdos comerciales bilaterales en los flujos comerciales internacionales. El análisis se basa en el uso de funciones de transferencia para captar el impacto dinámico de los FTA sobre los flujos comerciales a lo largo del tiempo. Previamente se extraen factores comunes a todas las series para aislar posibles efectos de tendencia y cambios de ciclo.

    Se obtiene una clasificación de los FTA basada en los beneficios dinámicos obtenidos por cada país. Se muestran los resultados para el caso de los acuerdos bilaterales estadounidenses.

  • English

    The main purpose of this work is to estimate the dynamic impact of bilateral free trade agreements (FTA) on economic relations between countries.

    We present an alternative methodology for assessing the ex post effects of trade agreements in international exports flows. The study focuses on transfer functions that can capture the dynamic impact of FTA on trade flows over time.

    We apply transfer functions methodology to bilateral trade series after having estimated common factors to all trade series to capture global economic cycles.

    A characterisation of American FTAs is obtained based on the dynamic profits of each signatory country.

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