A Causal Mechanism of Policy Innovation: The Reform of Colombia’s Oil-Rents Management System

• Autores: Bayron Alberto Paz Noguera, Guillaume Fontaine
• Localización: Revista de estudios sociales, ISSN 0123-885X, ISSN-e 1900-5180, Nº. 63, 2018, págs. 2-19
• Idioma: inglés
• DOI: 10.7440/res63.2018.01
• Títulos paralelos:
  • Um mecanismo causal de inovação de política pública: a reforma do sistema de gestão de rendas petroleiras na Colômbia
  • Un mecanismo causal de innovación de política pública: la reforma del sistema de gestión de rentas petroleras en Colombia
• Enlaces
  • Texto completo (pdf)
• Dialnet Métricas: 3 Citas
• Resumen
  • español

    RESUMEN Este artículo analiza la innovación de políticas públicas en Colombia, a través de la adopción de un nuevo sistema centralizado de manejo de rentas petroleras en 2011, tras veinte años de políticas descentralizadas de regalías. Aplicando un marco analítico basado en el diseño de políticas, identificamos un mecanismo causal relacionando la apertura de una ventana de oportunidad con un cambio de políticas públicas, como resultado de una combinación de la aparición de una nueva red de política, la adopción de un nuevo paradigma de políticas y la selección de una nueva mezcla de instrumentos. Con base en las estadísticas bayesianas, las once pruebas aplicadas al mecanismo causal muestran la importancia de los recursos estatales de información, poder, hacienda y organización para explicar el cambio de políticas públicas.

  • English

    ABSTRACT This article analyzes policy innovation in Colombia, through the adoption of a new centralized oil-rent management system in 2011, after 20 years of decentralized policies. Using a policy-design framework, we identify a causal mechanism linking the opening of a policy window to policy change as a combination of the emergence of a new policy network, the adoption of a new policy paradigm and the selection of a new instruments mix. Drawing on Bayesian statistics, the 11 tests conducted on the causal mechanism show the importance of State resources of information, authority, treasury and organization to assess the outcome of policy change.

  • português

    RESUMO Este artigo analisa a inovação de políticas públicas na Colômbia por meio da adoção de um novo sistema centralizado de gestão de rendas petroleiras em 2011, após 20 anos de políticas descentralizadas de regalias. Aplicando um referencial analítico baseado no desenho de políticas, identificamos um mecanismo causal que relaciona a abertura de oportunidades com a mudança de política pública, enquanto combinação da emergência de uma nova rede de política, a adoção de um novo paradigma de política e a seleção de um novo mix de instrumentos. Com base nas estatísticas bayesianas, os 11 testes aplicados ao mecanismo causal mostram a importância dos recursos estatais de informação, autoridade, tesouro e organização para explicar a mudança de políticas públicas.

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