El efecto Harrod-Balassa-Samuelson: El caso de México

• Autores: Mario Gómez Aguirre, José Carlos A. Rodríguez Chávez
• Localización: Contaduría y administración, ISSN 0186-1042, ISSN-e 2448-8410, Vol. 58, Nº. 3, 2013, págs. 121-147
• Idioma: español
• DOI: 10.1016/s0186-1042(13)71224-5
• Títulos paralelos:
  • The Harrod-Balassa-Samuelson effect: The case of Mexico
• Enlaces
  • Texto completo (pdf)
• Resumen
  • español

    En este artículo se analiza el efecto Harrod-Balassa-Samuelson (HBS) para el caso de México durante el periodo 1970-2009. Para ello se utiliza un modelo econométrico que incorpora la presencia de cambios estructurales. Los resultados alcanzados en esta investigación sugieren que no se cumple el efecto HBS entre México y Estados Unidos durante este periodo y, por lo tanto, no se corrobora estadísticamente que las diferentes tasas de crecimiento de la productividad de los bienes comerciables y no comerciables entre ambos países hayan afectado al tipo de cambio real.

  • English

    This paper discusses the Harrod-Balassa-Samuelson (HBS) effect in Mexico during the period 1970-2009. In so doing, we use an econometric model that incorporates structural changes. The results achieved in this research suggest that the HBS effect does not hold in the case of Mexico and the United States during this period, and thus it was not statistically corroborated that the different rates of productivity growth in the tradable and non tradable goods between these countries affected the real exchange rate.

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