The Middle East; Deterrence and nuclear deterrence

• Autores: Daniel Rajmil
• Localización: Revista del Instituto Español de Estudios Estratégicos, ISSN-e 2255-3479, Nº. 6, 2015
• Idioma: inglés
• Enlaces
  • Texto completo (pdf)
  • Texto completo
• Dialnet Métricas: 1 Cita
• Resumen

  • Con la firma del polémico acuerdo nuclear con Irán, Oriente Próximo remodela una vez más su lógica de equilibrio y poder de disuasión regional. Este momento histórico conlleva la oportunidad de revisar de nuevo la teoría de la disuasión, sus debilidades y fortalezas, así como la ocasión de mirar hacia el futuro y explorar las posibles alternativas a las armas de destrucción masiva tales como las iniciativas de control de armas y/o los procesos de desarme regional. Consciente de no ser una tarea fácil, este trabajo analiza la evolución actual de la teoría de la disuasión en Oriente Próximo así como sus posibles escenarios de futuro. 

• Referencias bibliográficas
  • ACHEN, Christopher H and SNIDAL, Duncan. Rational deterrence theory and comparative case studies, World politics, vol. 41, Issue 2, Jan. 1989.
  • BUNDY, Mc. George. To Cap the Volcano, Foreign Affairs 48, no. 1, 1969.
  • EVRON, Yair. The Israeli Nuclear Dilemma, London, Routledge, 1994.
  • ELDEN ALY, Hossam. The deterrence potential of Weapons of Mass destruction (WMD) in the Arab-Israeli enduring rivalry, Vienna: Dissertation,...
  • EVRON, Yair.The Israeli Nuclear Dilemma, London, Routledge, 1994.
  • FISHER, David. Morality and the bomb. An ethnical assessment of nuclear deterrence, London, Croom Helm Ltd, 1985.
  • GÄRTNER, Heinz, Deterrence, disarmament and arms control, Vienna, OIIP working paper, no. 68, May 2013.
  • HUTH, Paul. Deterrence and International Conflict: Empirical Findings and Theoretical Debate, Annual Review of Political Science, Vol. 2:...
  • JENTELSON, Bruce. Coercive diplomacy: Scope and Limits in the contemporary world, Policy Analysis, The Stanley Foundation, 2006.
  • JERVIS, R, Deterrence and perception, International security, vol. 7, winter 1982-83.
  • JONES, Peter. New directions in Middle East deterrence: Implications for Arms Controls, Middle East Review of International Affairs, v.1,...
  • KOTARSI, Kris. Quoting Patrick M. Morgan in “Deterring the undeterrable? Proliferation concerns in a world of "Rogue states" and non-state...
  • LUPOVICI, Amir. The Emerging Fourth Wave of Deterrence theory-Toward a New Research Agenda, International Studies Quarterly, volume 54, Issue...
  • MORGAN, Patrick M. and Wirtz, James J., edited by TV. Paul, Complex Deterrence, Chicago, The University of Chicago Press, 2009.
  • MORGAN, Patrick M. Non-State actors, Nuclear Next Use, and Deterrence, California: University of California Irvine, 2011.
  • MORGAN, Patrick. Deterrence Now, Cambridge, Cambridge Studies in International Relations, Cambridge University Press, 2003.
  • NATIONAL RESEARCH COUNCIL, Post-cold war conflict deterrence, National Academy of Sciences, 1997.
  • NED LEBOW, Richard and GROSS STEIN, Janice. Rational deterrence theory: I think, therefore I deter., World politics, vol. 41, No. 2, 1989.
  • NOPF, Jeffrey. The fourth wave in deterrence research, Contemporary Security Police Issue, 2010.
  • SAGAN, Scott D. The perils of proliferation: Organization Theory, Deterrence Theory, and the Spread of Nuclear Weapons, International Security,...
  • SLANTCHEV, Branislav L Deterrence and compellence. Introduction to International Relations, Department of Political Sciences, California,...
  • SODUPE, Keppa. La teoría de la disuasión: un análisis de las debilidades del paradigma estatocéntrico. Barcelona: Àfers Internacionals, núm....
  • SOKOLSKI, Henry D. Getting MAD: Nuclear Mutual Assured Destruction, its origins and practice. Sweden: SSI, 2004.
  • SUR, Serge. Nuclear Deterrence Revisited, Chapter 1. Nuclear Deterrence: Problems and Perspectives in the 1990’s. New York: UNIDIR Publication,...
  • ZAGARE, Frank C. The dynamics of deterrence, Chicago: Chicago, University of Press, 1987.