As instituições são importantes para as importações e exportações agro-alimentares entre a China e África? Uma análise do modelo gravitacional

• Nazir Muhammad Abdullahi ^[2] ; Saleh Shahriar ^[1] ; Sokvibol Kea ^[3] ; Adamu Ali Ibrahim ^[4] ; Aminu Muhammad Abdullahi ^[2]
  1. [1] North South University

     North South University

     DCC (Kotwali), Bangladés

     
  2. [2] Kano State Polytechnic, Nigeria
  3. [3] Kirirom Institute of Technology (KIT), Cambodia
  4. [4] Bayero University, Nigeria

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• Localización: Estudios Económicos, ISSN 0425-368X, ISSN-e 2525-1295, Vol. 41, Nº. 83, 2024, págs. 33-69
• Idioma: portugués
• DOI: 10.52292/j.estudecon.2025.4316
• Enlaces
  • Texto completo (pdf)
• Resumen

  • O presente documento tem por objetivo estudar o papel da qualidade institucional no comércio agroalimentar (importação e exportação) entre a China e 48 países africanos durante o período 2001-2021. Foi utilizado o modelo gravitacional do comércio, estimando os estimadores Generalised Least Square (GLS) e Poisson Pseudo-Maximum Likelihood (PPML), que incluem fluxos comerciais nulos para dados de painel. Os principais resultados mostram que a voz e a responsabilização, o controlo da corrupção e o Estado de direito aumentam os fluxos comerciais agro-alimentares. A instabilidade política incentiva as exportações agro-alimentares para a China. Além disso, a dimensão económica da China, o custo do comércio (distância) e a população dos países africanos também incentivam o comércio agroalimentar entre a China e as economias africanas. Por outro lado, o acesso ao mar, a política cambial e a dimensão económica dos países africanos reduzem as importações agro-alimentares da China provenientes de África. Mostrámos o mecanismo através do qual cada variável institucional afecta os fluxos comerciais agro-alimentares da China para os países africanos.

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