Modelamiento hidro-económico de los efectos del cambio climático y política en la agricultura andina

• Crispin Cunya, Marianella ^[2] ; Ponce Oliva, Roberto Daniel ^[3] ; Rendon Schneir, Eric ^[1] ; Arias Montevechio, Esteban Eduardo ^[4]
  1. [1] Universidad Nacional Agraria La Molina

     Universidad Nacional Agraria La Molina

     Perú

     
  2. [2] Universidad Nacional Agraria La Molina ; Universidad Nacional Mayor de San Marcos
  3. [3] Universidad del Desarrollo ; Center of Applied Ecology and Sustainability (CAPES) ; Water Research Center for Agriculture and Mining
  4. [4] Universidad Católica de la Ssma. Concepción

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• Localización: Economía agraria y recursos naturales, ISSN-e 2174-7350, ISSN 1578-0732, Vol. 23, Nº. 1, 2023, págs. 55-87
• Idioma: español
• DOI: 10.7201/earn.2023.01.03
• Títulos paralelos:
  • Hydro-economic modeling of the climate change and politics effects in Andean agriculture
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• Dialnet Métricas: 1 Cita
• Resumen
  • español

    El cambio climático viene afectando de manera diferenciada a la agricultura, en particular, en la zona andina, dada su alta exposición, sensibilidad y baja capacidad adaptativa. Se evaluó la respuesta adaptativa de la agricultura andina frente a una variación de la disponibilidad hídrica debido al cambio climático en base al modelo hidro-económico que integra dos módulos: el modelamiento hidrológico en base al SWAT y un modelo económico de optimización en base al PMP. Se determinó una alta vulnerabilidad agrícola frente al cambio climático situación que podría revertirse al aplicar una política agraria en base al uso eficiente del agua.

  • English

    Climate change has been affecting agriculture activities, particularly, in the Andean Region, given its high level of exposure, sensitivity and low adaptive capacity. The adaptive response of Andean agriculture to a variation in water availability due to climate change was evaluated. For this, a hydro-economic model was developed that integrates two modules: hydrological modeling based on SWAT and an economic optimization model based on PMP. There is a high agricultural vulnerability to climate change, situation that could be reversed through the application of an agricultural policy based on the efficient use of water.

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