Causalidade em economia com séries temporais: uma visita guiada desde a Antiguidade Clássica

• Autores: Nino Fonseca, Marcelino Sánchez Rivero
• Localización: Nova Economia, ISSN 0103-6351, Año 30, Nº. 3, 2020, págs. 999-1027
• Idioma: portugués
• DOI: 10.1590/0103-6351/4931
• Títulos paralelos:
  • Causality in economics with time series data: a guided tour since Classical Antiquity
• Enlaces
  • Texto completo
• Dialnet Métricas: 1 Cita
• Resumen
  • English

    Abstract This paper frames the study of causality in economics, with time series data, within the broader context of the philosophical question of causality. To that purpose, we demonstrate that the spectrum of existing approaches in Economics results from the responses that have been given, so far, to the ontological, epistemological and pragmatic problems of causality within this discipline. We further conclude that, far from being the only possible, correct or adequate answer, the ubiquitous Granger causality is just one of those answers. In a broader perspective, our work provides a concise but articulated and historically grounded view of the origins, evolution, and problematics of the analysis of causality in Economics.

  • português

    Resumo Este artigo enquadra o estudo da causalidade em Economia, com dados em série temporal, no contexto mais abrangente da análise filosófica da causalidade. Para o efeito, demonstramos que o espectro de abordagens existentes em Economia resulta das respostas que já foram dadas, até agora, aos problemas ontológico, epistemológico e pragmático da causalidade no âmbito específico dessa disciplina. Concluímos ainda que longe de ser a única resposta disponível, correta ou adequada, a onipresente causalidade à Granger constitui apenas uma das várias respostas possíveis. Numa perspectiva mais geral, nosso objetivo é proporcionar uma visão concisa, mas ao mesmo tempo articulada e historicamente fundamentada acerca das origens, evolução e problemática da análise da causalidade em Economia.

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