Cambio en la estructura productiva, 1995-2011: China versus México

• Núñez Rodríguez, Gaspar ^[1]
  1. [1] Charles University in Prague

     Charles University in Prague

     Chequia

     
• Localización: El trimestre económico, ISSN-e 2448-718X, ISSN 0041-3011, Nº. 349, 2021, págs. 107-141
• Idioma: español
• DOI: 10.20430/ete.v88i349.1010
• Títulos paralelos:
  • Change in the productive structure, 1995-2011: China versus México
• Enlaces
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• Dialnet Métricas: 1 Cita
• Resumen
  • español

    Este trabajo realiza un análisis comparativo de la estructura productiva de las economías de China y de México mediante un estudio descriptivo y los métodos del análisis estructural aplicados a matrices de insumo-producto para 1995 y 2011. Durante este periodo el crecimiento del producto interno bruto (PIB) per cápita en China alcanzó un promedio de 9.18% anual, mientras que para México fue de sólo 0.95%. Si asumimos que el crecimiento de China ha sido exitoso en este sentido, entonces, la principal conclusión de este trabajo es que, en caso de que México desee alcanzar tasas de crecimiento altas, el principal elemento potencialmente aprovechable desde la experiencia de China para elaborar una estrategia eficaz está claro: impulsar, desde una participación proactiva del Estado, el desarrollo de sectores clave que incrementen constantemente sus efectos multiplicadores con el fin de lograr la mayor integración posible del aparato productivo nacional, y, por lo tanto, el desarrollo y la consolidación de una planta productiva suficiente, sobre la que luego se cimente la gestión de sectores productivos de nueva generación.

  • English

    This paper performs a comparative analysis of the Chinese and Mexican production structures, through a descriptive study and using the methods of structural analysis on input-output tables of 1995 and 2011. During this period, the average annual per capita gross domestic product (GDP) growth in China amounted to 9.18%, while in Mexico it reached only 0.95%. Assuming that China’s growth has been successful in this sense, then a mayor conclusion from this paper is that if Mexico wishes to reach high growth rates, the main element potentially useful to elaborate an efficacious strategy from China’s experience is clear: To foster, from a proactive participation of the state, the development of key sectors which will constantly increase their multiplier effects, so that a mayor integration of the national economy is achieved, and the development and consolidation of the productive apparatus sufficient to support the generation of next-generation productive sectors.

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