Unha perspectiva combinada para acceder a cambios a curto prazo na situación económica de portugal e españa

• João Veríssimo LISBOA ^[1] ; Mário Gomes AUGUSTO ^[1] ; Juan Piñeiro-Chousa ^[2]
  1. [1] Universidade de Coimbra

     Universidade de Coimbra

     Coimbra (Sé Nova), Portugal

     
  2. [2] Universidade de Santiago de Compostela

     Universidade de Santiago de Compostela

     Santiago de Compostela, España

     
• Localización: Revista galega de economía: Publicación Interdisciplinar da Facultade de Ciencias Económicas e Empresariais, ISSN-e 2255-5951, ISSN 1132-2799, Vol. 24, Nº. 2, 2015, págs. 99-110
• Idioma: gallego
• DOI: 10.15304/rge.24.2.2933
• Enlaces
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• Resumen

  • Este artigo propón un método diferente para identificar a curto prazo cambios na actividade económica. Usamos unha perspectiva baseada nas opinións de varios recoñecidos economistas españois e portugueses sobre a importancia dun grupo de indicadores individuais aceptados de forma xeral, que poidan avaliar a situación económica. O obxectivo do artigo é o de determinar a posición económica relativa nun período de tempo a curto e medio prazo e analizar a importancia da opinión dos economistas para describir a situación económica. Recolléronse datos trismestrais do período de 1995 a 2014 (1º semestre) das estadísticas da OECD.StatExtracts para Portugal e España. Os resultados apoian a idea de que as opinións dos economistas son importantes para explicar as características dunha economía. Malia que as súas opinións sobre o peso dunha variable determinada na descrición do nivel de actividade económica pode variar, implicitamente a longo prazo todas las opinións tenden a converxer nun mesmo patrón de evolución dunha situación económica.

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