Resumen de On the rationality of decisions with unreliable probabilities

Fernando Birman

• The standard Bayesian recipe for selecting the rational choice is presented.

  A familiar example in which the recipe fails to produce any definite result is introduced. It is argued that a generalization of Gärdenfors� and Sahlin�s theory of unreliable probabilities � which itself does not guarantee a solution to the problem � offers the best available approach.

  But a number of challenges to this approach are also presented and discussed.