City of Cambridge, Estados Unidos
In response to the unilateral application of tariffs and Donald Trump’s attempt to undermine Brazil’s sovereignty and destabilize its democratic institutions, the more geopolitical space it creates for China to expand its already considerable influence in the country. For many policymakers in Brazil, this state of affairs is objectionable because it slows the emergence of their much-wanted multipolar world order, and the country is being pushed toward a binary choice:
align completely with Washington or with Beijing. Faced with growing threats from Washington, Brasilia may ultimately conclude that its options are far starker than it expected.